Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
50.09% (![]() | 21.73% (![]() | 28.17% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.04% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.72% (![]() | 33.28% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.95% (![]() | 55.04% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.27% (![]() | 13.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.01% (![]() | 40.99% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% (![]() | 23.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.54% (![]() | 57.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 9.21% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.09% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.87% Total : 50.09% | 1-1 @ 9.27% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 6.72% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.17% |
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