SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 38.67% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (4.99%) and 3-1 (4.82%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
39.35% ( 0.39) | 21.98% ( 0.05) | 38.67% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 69.48% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.49% ( -0.25) | 30.51% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.19% ( -0.3) | 51.8% ( 0.3) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( 0.05) | 16.5% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.77% ( 0.09) | 46.23% ( -0.09) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( -0.29) | 16.78% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.26% ( -0.52) | 46.73% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 39.35% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.43% Total : 38.67% |
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