SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
48.94% ( 1.1) | 21.16% ( 0.01) | 29.89% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 69.57% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.77% ( -0.71) | 29.22% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.75% ( -0.87) | 50.25% ( 0.87) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.36% ( 0.08) | 12.63% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.23% ( 0.16) | 38.77% ( -0.16) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( -0.95) | 20.37% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.22% ( -1.54) | 52.78% ( 1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.26)1-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.1)4-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.11)3-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.89% |
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