SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.15%) and 0-1 (4.75%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
36.73% ( -1.05) | 21.59% ( 0.17) | 41.67% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 70.86% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.33% ( -1.04) | 28.67% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.43% ( -1.29) | 49.56% ( 1.28) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( -0.9) | 16.78% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.25% ( -1.62) | 46.74% ( 1.61) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.16% ( -0.12) | 14.83% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.85% ( -0.21) | 43.14% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.15)1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.13)4-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.4% Total : 36.73% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.59% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.1)0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.06)3-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 41.67% |
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