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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Auckland FC |
50.03% ( -0.35) | 23.47% ( 0.11) | 26.5% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 58.24% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.08% ( -0.33) | 42.92% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.68% ( -0.33) | 65.32% ( 0.33) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.73% ( -0.25) | 17.27% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.4% ( -0.45) | 47.6% ( 0.45) |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( 0) | 29.6% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% ( 0) | 65.64% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.92% Total : 50.03% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.23% Total : 26.5% |
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