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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.06%) and 0-1 (5.04%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
36.93% ( 0.3) | 21.88% ( 0.01) | 41.19% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 69.71% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.84% ( 0.01) | 30.16% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.61% ( 0.02) | 51.39% ( -0.02) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.63% ( 0.14) | 17.37% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.23% ( 0.24) | 47.77% ( -0.24) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( -0.11) | 15.63% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.36% ( -0.21) | 44.64% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 36.93% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.72% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.59% ( 0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 3.96% Total : 41.19% |
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