SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.9%) and 1-3 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 2-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
17.41% ( 0.02) | 18.34% ( 0.02) | 64.26% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 63.45% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.83% ( -0.04) | 30.17% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.6% ( -0.05) | 51.4% ( 0.05) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% | 30.3% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.52% ( -0) | 66.48% ( 0) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.03% ( -0.02) | 8.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.41% ( -0.05) | 30.59% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% 2-0 @ 1.94% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.86% ( 0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 17.41% | 1-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.34% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( 0)1-3 @ 7.58% ( -0)0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.35% ( -0)1-4 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.53% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.73% ( -0)1-5 @ 2.21% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.32% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 4.32% Total : 64.26% |
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