SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
36.34% ( -0) | 23.27% ( -0) | 40.39% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 64.15% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.65% ( 0.01) | 37.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.44% ( 0.02) | 59.56% ( -0.01) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% ( 0) | 20.85% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.46% ( 0.01) | 53.54% ( -0.01) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( 0.01) | 18.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.52% ( 0.01) | 50.48% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.2% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0)4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.91% Total : 36.34% | 1-1 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.95% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 4.75% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.72% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 40.39% |
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