Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Melbourne Victory
52.31% ( 0.56)	21.85% ( -0.04)	25.84% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 63.38% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.15% (

-0.23)

35.85% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.07% (

-0.25)

57.93% (

0.25)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.07% (

0.1)

13.93% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.62% (

0.19)

41.38% (

-0.19)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.64% (

-0.48)

26.36% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.49% (

-0.64)

61.51% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 52.31%

Melbourne Victory 25.84%

Draw 21.85%

Melbourne City	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 52.31%	1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.85%	1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.84%