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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.45%) and 1-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Sydney FC |
51.39% ( -0.06) | 21.46% ( 0.01) | 27.14% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 66.14% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.22% ( -0.01) | 32.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.53% ( -0.01) | 54.47% ( 0.01) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.85% ( -0.02) | 13.14% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.18% ( -0.04) | 39.81% ( 0.04) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( 0.03) | 23.85% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.96% ( 0.04) | 58.03% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.13% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.14% |
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