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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.29%) and 1-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
43.03% ( 0.28) | 21.91% ( 0.02) | 35.06% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 69.2% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.32% ( -0.22) | 30.67% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48% ( -0.26) | 52% ( 0.26) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.84% ( 0.01) | 15.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.25% ( 0.03) | 43.74% ( -0.03) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.55% ( -0.24) | 18.44% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.38% ( -0.41) | 49.62% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.91% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.06% |
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