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J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 30, 2024 at 7am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
2 - 0
Shonan Bellmare

Funaki (60'), Kitano (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Shonan Bellmare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Cerezo
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 4-4 Urawa
Sunday, March 17 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawShonan Bellmare
47.06% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 26.12%26.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.03% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.84% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.7% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)75.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13%22.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.39%56.61% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.86% (-0.012 -0.01)35.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.11% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)71.89% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 47.05%
    Shonan Bellmare 26.82%
    Draw 26.11%
Cerezo OsakaDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 11.85%
2-1 @ 9.15%
2-0 @ 8.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.05%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 8.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 26.82%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Cerezo
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, March 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, February 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-0 Cerezo
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 4-4 Urawa
Sunday, March 17 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, March 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, February 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 0-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League


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