SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | River Plate |
38.32% ( -0.22) | 29.64% ( 0.14) | 32.04% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 42.76% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.79% ( -0.44) | 64.21% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.67% ( -0.31) | 83.33% ( 0.31) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% ( -0.36) | 32.45% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.03% ( -0.41) | 68.97% ( 0.41) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.3% ( -0.19) | 36.7% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.51% ( -0.19) | 73.49% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 13.4% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 38.32% | 1-1 @ 13.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.63% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.87% Total : 32.03% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
