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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Oct 8, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
1 - 0
River Plate

Rodriguez (34')
Ramirez (88'), Lacoste (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maldonado 2-1 Cerro
Monday, September 4 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Racing
Sunday, September 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
CerroDrawRiver Plate
30.38% (-1.598 -1.6) 29.15% (-0.483 -0.48) 40.46% (2.077 2.08)
Both teams to score 43.56% (0.8 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37% (1.199 1.2)63% (-1.206 -1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.53% (0.858 0.86)82.46% (-0.863 -0.86)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72% (-0.544 -0.54)37.28% (0.539 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93% (-0.54 -0.54)74.06% (0.535 0.53)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (1.861 1.86)30.54% (-1.867 -1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (2.155 2.16)66.76% (-2.161 -2.16)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 30.38%
    River Plate 40.45%
    Draw 29.15%
CerroDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.69 -0.69)
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.426 -0.43)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.28% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 30.38%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 11.38% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.15%
0-1 @ 13.5% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.45 0.45)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.334 0.33)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.328 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.282 0.28)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.119 0.12)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.139 0.14)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 40.45%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Maldonado 2-1 Cerro
Monday, September 4 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 1-2 Boston River
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 1-1 Penarol
Saturday, August 19 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 0-0 Plaza Colonia
Monday, July 24 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 1-2 Cerro
Monday, July 17 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 1-0 Liverpool
Saturday, July 8 at 4pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Racing
Sunday, September 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 River Plate
Saturday, August 26 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, August 19 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 River Plate
Saturday, July 22 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 La Luz
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 0-1 River Plate
Monday, July 10 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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