SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 35.62%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.12%) and 1-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (13.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Fenix |
32.95% ( 0.06) | 31.43% ( 0) | 35.62% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 38.49% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.66% ( -0) | 69.34% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.19% ( -0) | 86.81% |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.09% ( 0.04) | 38.91% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.36% ( 0.04) | 75.64% ( -0.04) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63% ( -0.05) | 37% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.21% ( -0.04) | 73.79% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0)3-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 32.94% | 0-0 @ 14.39% 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.17% Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.42% | 0-1 @ 14.31% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 35.62% |
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