Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 51.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cesena in this match.

Result
Cesena	Draw	Sudtirol
51.48% ( -0.81)	26.15% ( 0.76)	22.38% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 45.79% (

-2.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.76% (

-2.71)

57.25% (

2.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.91% (

-2.2)

78.09% (

2.21)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.67% (

-1.45)

22.33% (

1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.19% (

-2.23)

55.81% (

2.23)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.95% (

-1.49)

41.05% (

1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.4% (

-1.36)

77.6% (

1.36)

Score Analysis

Cesena 51.47%

Sudtirol 22.38%

Draw 26.14%

Cesena	Draw	Sudtirol
1-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.81) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.84% Total : 51.47%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.91) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.38%