SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
21.97% ( -0.41) | 24.64% ( 0.68) | 53.39% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 49.54% ( -2.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.96% ( -3.14) | 52.04% ( 3.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.23% ( -2.78) | 73.77% ( 2.78) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( -2.17) | 38.5% ( 2.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.75% ( -2.13) | 75.25% ( 2.13) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( -1.29) | 19.44% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.72% ( -2.17) | 51.28% ( 2.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
| 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.97% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.89)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.35)Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( 1) 0-2 @ 10.03% ( 0.43)1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.3)0-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.9% Total : 53.38% |
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