SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
47.55% ( -0.07) | 23.58% ( 0.01) | 28.86% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.27% ( -0.03) | 41.72% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.87% ( -0.03) | 64.12% ( 0.03) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% ( -0.04) | 17.76% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.54% ( -0.06) | 48.45% ( 0.06) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( 0.02) | 27.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.26% ( 0.03) | 62.73% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 3.77% Total : 47.55% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 28.86% |
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