SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 23.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
23.98% ( 0.2) | 25.85% ( 0.05) | 50.17% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 48.31% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.18% ( -0) | 54.82% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.88% ( -0) | 76.12% ( 0) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.85% ( 0.19) | 38.15% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.09% ( 0.18) | 74.91% ( -0.17) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( -0.11) | 21.89% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.86% ( -0.16) | 55.14% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.98% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 50.17% |
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