SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
18.52% ( -0.1) | 22.61% ( 0.05) | 58.87% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.85% ( -0.35) | 48.15% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.69% ( -0.33) | 70.31% ( 0.33) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.08% ( -0.32) | 39.93% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.42% ( -0.29) | 76.58% ( 0.29) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.98% ( -0.11) | 16.02% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.65% ( -0.2) | 45.35% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 1-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 18.52% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.72% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.55% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 58.87% |
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