SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Sichuan Jiuniu win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
53.36% ( -0.52) | 25.6% ( 0.25) | 21.04% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 45.65% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.43% ( -0.63) | 56.56% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.45% ( -0.51) | 77.54% ( 0.51) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.75% ( -0.47) | 21.25% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.84% ( -0.73) | 54.16% ( 0.73) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.97% ( -0.08) | 42.03% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.54% ( -0.07) | 78.46% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
| 1-0 @ 13.83% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.13% Total : 53.36% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.11% Total : 21.04% |
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