SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Torquay United |
42.73% ( -0.11) | 24.87% ( 0.09) | 32.39% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.25% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.09% ( -0.41) | 45.91% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.78% ( -0.39) | 68.22% ( 0.39) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% ( -0.22) | 21.51% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.44% ( -0.34) | 54.56% ( 0.34) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( -0.19) | 27.07% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( -0.25) | 62.44% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Torquay United |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.73% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.4% |
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