SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
49.66% ( 0.09) | 24.57% ( -0.04) | 25.76% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.91% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( 0.09) | 48.32% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.53% ( 0.08) | 70.46% ( -0.09) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( 0.07) | 19.48% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.65% ( 0.12) | 51.35% ( -0.12) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.95% ( 0) | 33.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.36% ( 0.01) | 69.63% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.67% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 25.76% |
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