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League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
HT

Cheltenham
1 - 0
Harrogate

Bradbury (90+2')
Haynes (71'), Taylor (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Folarin (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Barrow
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-1 Harrogate Town

We anticipate a hard-fought contest on Saturday with both teams keen to bounce back to winning ways in League Two. With home advantage on their side and a degree of renewed optimism from a midweek away victory, Cheltenham Town should fancy themselves to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cheltenham Town.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawHarrogate Town
40.54% (-0.234 -0.23) 26.77% (0.064 0.06) 32.68% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 51.1% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.11% (-0.209 -0.21)53.89% (0.206 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.65% (-0.176 -0.18)75.35% (0.17399999999999 0.17)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)26.12% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (-0.298 -0.3)61.19% (0.296 0.3)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (0.007000000000005 0.01)30.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.11% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 40.54%
    Harrogate Town 32.68%
    Draw 26.77%
Cheltenham TownDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.54%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Plymouth 3-0 Cheltenham
Wednesday, August 14 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-2 Newport
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Barrow
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-5 Preston
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Harrogate
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 3-3 Harrogate
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Harrogate
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Bromley
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two


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