SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest South Shields win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chester FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | South Shields |
46.19% ( 0.01) | 25.88% ( -0.07) | 27.92% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.56% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.76% ( 0.3) | 52.23% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.06% ( 0.26) | 73.94% ( -0.26) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% ( 0.13) | 22.58% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.81% ( 0.19) | 56.19% ( -0.2) |
| South Shields Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% ( 0.21) | 33.4% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.97% ( 0.23) | 70.03% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | South Shields |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.19% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.92% |
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