SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| South Shields | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
40.19% ( 0.14) | 25.78% ( 0.04) | 34.03% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.52% ( -0.22) | 49.48% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.48% ( -0.2) | 71.51% ( 0.2) |
| South Shields Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( -0.03) | 24.3% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.31% ( -0.04) | 58.68% ( 0.04) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.21% ( -0.22) | 27.78% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.63% ( -0.29) | 63.36% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Shields | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.19% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.03% |
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