SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Tamworth |
39.17% ( -0) | 27.51% ( -0.02) | 33.32% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.37% ( 0.06) | 56.63% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.4% ( 0.05) | 77.6% ( -0.05) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( 0.03) | 28.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.15% ( 0.04) | 63.86% ( -0.03) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% ( 0.04) | 31.79% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.78% ( 0.05) | 68.22% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.17% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 33.32% |
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