SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Darlington win it was 1-0 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Chester FC |
23.46% ( -0.13) | 26.36% ( -0.09) | 50.18% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 46.36% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.9% ( 0.24) | 57.1% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.02% ( 0.19) | 77.98% ( -0.19) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.09% ( 0.01) | 39.91% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.43% ( 0.01) | 76.57% ( -0) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( 0.21) | 22.85% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.43% ( 0.3) | 56.58% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 23.46% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 13.46% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 50.18% |
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