SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for York City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for York City.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Chester FC |
38.79% ( -1.12) | 25.71% ( -0.15) | 35.5% ( 1.26) |
| Both teams to score 55.16% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.05% ( 0.82) | 48.95% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% ( 0.74) | 71.03% ( -0.75) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( -0.22) | 24.8% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.61% ( -0.31) | 59.38% ( 0.3) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( 1.16) | 26.64% ( -1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.12% ( 1.51) | 61.87% ( -1.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.79% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.17% Total : 35.5% |
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