SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chester FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Brackley Town |
45.21% ( -0.03) | 26.86% ( 0.02) | 27.92% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.65% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44% ( -0.06) | 55.99% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.91% ( -0.05) | 77.09% ( 0.05) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.31% ( -0.04) | 24.68% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.78% ( -0.06) | 59.21% ( 0.06) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.59% ( -0.02) | 35.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.83% ( -0.03) | 72.16% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Brackley Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 45.21% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.93% |
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