SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.95%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.63%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
53.95% ( -0.07) | 20.26% ( 0.02) | 25.79% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 69.42% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72% ( -0.07) | 28% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.26% ( -0.09) | 48.74% ( 0.09) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.2% ( -0.04) | 10.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.17% ( -0.09) | 34.83% ( 0.1) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% ( -0.01) | 22.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.43% ( -0.01) | 55.57% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0)1-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 53.95% | 1-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.26% | 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.79% |
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