SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.62%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 27.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Frosinone |
44.62% ( -0.07) | 28.01% ( 0.02) | 27.37% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 45.12% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.67% ( -0.03) | 60.33% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.51% ( -0.02) | 80.49% ( 0.03) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( -0.05) | 26.95% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.71% ( -0.07) | 62.29% ( 0.08) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.77% ( 0.04) | 38.23% ( -0.03) |
