Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.04) 
