SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Loughgall win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Loughgall |
58.87% ( 0.15) | 22.28% ( -0.06) | 18.85% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.08% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.72% ( 0.15) | 46.28% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.43% ( 0.14) | 68.57% ( -0.14) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.62% ( 0.1) | 15.38% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.83% ( 0.19) | 44.17% ( -0.18) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.54% ( -0.01) | 38.46% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.79% ( -0) | 75.21% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Loughgall |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 58.86% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.28% | 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 18.85% |
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