Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.
-0.04) 
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