SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Sportivo Ameliano win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Club Libertad | Draw | Sportivo Ameliano |
58.7% ( -0.06) | 23.1% ( 0.08) | 18.2% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.4% ( -0.34) | 50.6% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.48% ( -0.3) | 72.51% ( 0.3) |
| Club Libertad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( -0.14) | 16.94% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.99% ( -0.25) | 47.01% ( 0.25) |
| Sportivo Ameliano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.27% ( -0.22) | 41.72% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.8% ( -0.19) | 78.19% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Libertad | Draw | Sportivo Ameliano |
| 1-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 58.69% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 18.2% |
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