Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Wrexham |
32.9% (![]() | 24.9% (![]() | 42.19% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.09% (![]() | 45.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.79% (![]() | 68.21% (![]() |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.25% (![]() | 26.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.98% (![]() | 62.02% (![]() |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.24% (![]() | 21.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.06% (![]() | 54.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 7.72% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.9% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.93% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.88% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.2% |
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