SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
44.04% ( 0.58) | 24.24% ( -0.06) | 31.72% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 59.16% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.72% ( 0.06) | 43.27% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.32% ( 0.06) | 65.67% ( -0.06) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% ( 0.28) | 19.82% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.09% ( 0.45) | 51.9% ( -0.45) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( -0.3) | 26.2% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.7% ( -0.41) | 61.3% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 44.04% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.72% |
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