SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Coleraine |
43.43% ( 0.13) | 25.47% ( -0.02) | 31.1% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.99% ( 0.03) | 49% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% ( 0.03) | 71.09% ( -0.03) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% ( 0.08) | 22.49% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.94% ( 0.11) | 56.06% ( -0.11) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% ( -0.06) | 29.44% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.56% ( -0.07) | 65.44% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.43% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.1% |
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