SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
33.38% ( 0.03) | 24.13% ( 0.01) | 42.48% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.23% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.83% ( -0.03) | 42.16% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.43% ( -0.03) | 64.56% ( 0.03) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.33% ( 0) | 24.67% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.81% ( 0) | 59.19% |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( -0.03) | 20.04% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.74% ( -0.04) | 52.26% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.38% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 42.48% |
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