Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.74%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colombia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Colombia.
Result | ||
Colombia | Draw | Iraq |
64.9% (![]() | 22.91% (![]() | 12.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 36.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.39% (![]() | 59.61% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.06% (![]() | 79.94% (![]() |
Colombia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82% (![]() | 18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.14% (![]() | 48.86% (![]() |
Iraq Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.27% (![]() | 55.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.69% (![]() | 88.31% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Colombia | Draw | Iraq |
1-0 @ 17.2% (![]() 2-0 @ 14.74% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.43% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.93% 4-0 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 2.56% Total : 64.89% | 1-1 @ 10.05% (![]() 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 2.52% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 5.86% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.71% ( ![]() Other @ 1.68% Total : 12.2% |
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