SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 65.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Charlotte FC |
65.66% ( -0.52) | 19.48% ( 0.22) | 14.86% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 52.88% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.04% ( -0.38) | 40.96% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.65% ( -0.38) | 63.35% ( 0.38) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.33% ( -0.25) | 11.67% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.26% ( -0.53) | 36.74% ( 0.53) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.86% ( 0.17) | 40.13% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.23% ( 0.16) | 76.77% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 2-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.8% Total : 65.65% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.48% | 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.79% Total : 14.86% |
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