SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.31%) and 1-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Comoros win was 1-0 (12.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Gambia |
32.67% ( -1.29) | 30.47% ( 0) | 36.86% ( 1.3) |
| Both teams to score 40.78% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.36% ( -0.09) | 66.64% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.98% ( -0.06) | 85.02% ( 0.06) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.42% ( -0.98) | 37.58% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.64% ( -0.98) | 74.36% ( 0.98) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( 0.82) | 34.67% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.6% ( 0.86) | 71.4% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Comoros | Draw | Gambia |
| 1-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.74% Total : 32.67% | 1-1 @ 13.5% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.46% | 0-1 @ 13.8% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.34)1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.86% |
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