Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Senegal | 1 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Cameroon | 1 | 0 | 1 |
3 | Guinea | 1 | 0 | 1 |
4 | Gambia | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.16%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Guinea.
Result | ||
Guinea | Draw | Gambia |
52.66% ( 0.53) | 28.92% ( -0.24) | 18.41% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 34.73% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.09% ( 0.36) | 68.91% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.47% ( 0.23) | 86.53% ( -0.24) |
Guinea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.97% ( 0.44) | 27.03% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.6% ( 0.57) | 62.4% ( -0.57) |
Gambia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.59% ( -0.13) | 52.41% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.73% ( -0.09) | 86.27% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Guinea | Draw | Gambia |
1-0 @ 18.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.53% Total : 52.66% | 0-0 @ 14.16% ( -0.2) 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 28.91% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.43% Total : 18.41% |
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