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Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de Yamoussoukro
GN

Guinea
1 - 0
Gambia

Camara (69')
Diakite (19'), Jeanvier (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Barrow (10'), Sowe (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Cameroon 1-1 Guinea
Monday, January 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Senegal 3-0 Gambia
Monday, January 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Guinea 2-0 Gambia

Guinea were unlucky not to have got all three points against Cameroon in their opening match and will be eager to make amends for it in this one against a Gambia side that looked very poor against Senegal on Monday evening. We feel the National Elephants will put on another impressive display here and fancy them to secure their first win of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 18.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.16%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Guinea.

Result
GuineaDrawGambia
52.66% (0.534 0.53) 28.92% (-0.242 -0.24) 18.41% (-0.294 -0.29)
Both teams to score 34.73% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.09% (0.364 0.36)68.91% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.47% (0.234 0.23)86.53% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (0.43600000000001 0.44)27.03% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (0.567 0.57)62.4% (-0.569 -0.57)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.59% (-0.134 -0.13)52.41% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.73% (-0.087000000000002 -0.09)86.27% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Guinea 52.66%
    Gambia 18.41%
    Draw 28.91%
GuineaDrawGambia
1-0 @ 18.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.12% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.29% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 52.66%
0-0 @ 14.16% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 28.91%
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-2 @ 3.87% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 18.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cameroon 1-1 Guinea
Monday, January 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Guinea 2-0 Nigeria
Monday, January 8 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Guinea
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Guinea 2-1 Uganda
Friday, November 17 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Guinea 1-1 Gabon
Tuesday, October 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Senegal 3-0 Gambia
Monday, January 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Gambia 0-2 Ivory Coast
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Burundi 3-2 Gambia
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Gambia 2-2 Congo
Sunday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Sudan 2-3 Gambia
Wednesday, June 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 1-0 Mali
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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