SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gambia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.47%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Gambia win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Ivory Coast |
19.89% ( -0.05) | 27.28% ( -0.05) | 52.83% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 40.02% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.86% ( 0.13) | 63.13% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.44% ( 0.09) | 82.56% ( -0.09) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.85% ( 0.02) | 47.14% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.4% ( 0.01) | 82.59% ( -0.01) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( 0.1) | 24.27% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.37% ( 0.15) | 58.63% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gambia | Draw | Ivory Coast |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.58% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.32% Total : 19.89% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.41% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 16.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.47% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.41% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 52.83% |
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