SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 36.22%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.23%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Burundi win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burundi | Draw | Gambia |
33.81% ( -0.02) | 29.97% ( -0.01) | 36.22% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.17% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.96% ( 0.04) | 65.04% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.08% ( 0.03) | 83.92% ( -0.02) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% ( 0) | 35.88% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.35% | 72.65% ( 0) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.77% ( 0.04) | 34.23% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.07% ( 0.05) | 70.93% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burundi | Draw | Gambia |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 33.8% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.96% | 0-1 @ 13.16% 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 36.22% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
