SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Consadole Sapporo | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
47.11% ( -0.03) | 24.26% ( 0.01) | 28.63% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.29% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.05% ( -0.02) | 44.95% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.7% ( -0.02) | 67.3% ( 0.02) |
| Consadole Sapporo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( -0.02) | 19.2% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.12% ( -0.03) | 50.88% ( 0.03) |
| Sagan Tosu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( 0) | 29.1% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.98% ( 0) | 65.02% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Consadole Sapporo | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 47.12% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 28.63% |
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