Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sassuolo in this match.
0.49) 
-0.71) 
