Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.12) 
