SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Queen of the South |
42.55% ( -0.05) | 25.43% ( 0.09) | 32.02% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.48% ( -0.41) | 48.52% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% ( -0.37) | 70.64% ( 0.38) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( -0.2) | 22.71% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.63% ( -0.3) | 56.37% ( 0.3) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( -0.22) | 28.59% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% ( -0.28) | 64.38% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.55% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.02% |
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